CouchScouts Podcast Ep. 36 RB's with the most to gain and the most to lose

CouchScouts
19 Jun 202440:06

TLDRIn episode 36 of the CouchScouts Podcast, hosts Matt Cooper and Matt Jackson discuss running backs with the most to gain and lose in the 2024 season. They analyze players like Zamir Wright, Javonte Williams, and Marshon Lloyd, who have high potential, and consider veterans like Christian McCaffrey and Saquon Barkley who may face challenges due to age, competition, or past performance. The podcast also promotes their free Discord community and rookie guide, aiming to help listeners dominate their fantasy football drafts.

Takeaways

  • 🎙️ The CouchScouts Podcast, hosted by Matt Cooper and Matt Jackson, discusses players with the most to gain or lose in the 2024 season, focusing on running backs.
  • 🏈 Zamir Wright, the Raiders' running back, is highlighted as a potential high-performer with a current startup ADP of RB23, especially considering his increased role post-Josh Jacobs.
  • 📈 Javonte Williams is seen as a post-injury bounce-back candidate, with the potential to vastly outperform his current RB22 ADP if he returns to his rookie form.
  • 💰 Marshon Lloyd is identified as a value pick, going as RB40 in startup drafts, with his explosiveness and speed making him a candidate for significant improvement.
  • 🚀 Austin Eckler, despite an injury-riddled past season, is considered undervalued at RB41, with the expectation that he could return to high-end RB2 or low-end RB1 status.
  • 👀 The podcast emphasizes the importance of not just watching the box score, but understanding the deeper story told by the film.
  • 🆓 The hosts invite listeners to join their free Discord community for Dynasty strategy discussions and trade advice.
  • 📚 A rookie guide is offered for $10, providing in-depth analysis of over 60 prospects to aid in rookie draft preparation.
  • 📉 Deon a chain of the Miami Dolphins is considered a risky pick at RB8 due to a crowded backfield and the potential for a limited touch share.
  • 🏁 Christian McCaffrey, despite being a favorite, is noted as having limited upside and significant downside risk due to his age and injury history.
  • 🤔 Saquon Barkley's value is questioned, with concerns about his touchdown potential and the Eagles' historically crowded backfield impacting his ADP.
  • 🔍 Jonathan Taylor's high ADP is scrutinized, with the hosts suggesting that he has more to lose than to gain, given recent underwhelming seasons compared to his 2021 performance.

Q & A

  • What is the main topic of CouchScouts Podcast Episode 36?

    -The main topic of CouchScouts Podcast Episode 36 is discussing running backs with the most to gain and the most to lose heading into the 2024 season.

  • Who are the hosts of the CouchScouts Podcast Episode 36?

    -The hosts of the CouchScouts Podcast Episode 36 are Matt Cooper and Matt Jackson.

  • Why is Matt Jackson's background different in this episode?

    -Matt Jackson's background is different because he is at his parents' house, where their church is having a vacation bible school, and they wanted him to come up and put his kids in there.

Outlines

00:00

🎙️ Podcast Introduction and Dynasty Discussion

The podcast begins with hosts Matt Cooper and Matt Jackson greeting listeners and discussing their week, including VBS activities and personal matters affecting co-host Matt Rert. They mention recording at an unusual time and location, and invite listeners to join their free Discord community for Dynasty strategy discussions. The hosts also promote their rookie guide for a fee, offering in-depth analysis of prospects. The main topic for the episode is running backs with the most to gain or lose in the 2024 season, using Dynasty data lab's startup 8p. Matt Cooper 'cheats' by selecting an additional honorable mention.

05:01

🏈 Zamir Wright's Potential as a Breakout Running Back

Matt Jackson spotlights Zamir Wright of the Raiders, who has a startup ADP of running back 23. Despite the Raiders not drafting a running back or signing a significant free agent, Wright is positioned to potentially outperform his current ADP, especially with Josh Jacobs no longer on the team. The hosts discuss his involvement in the last four weeks of the previous season, handling a significant number of carries and targets, and his fantasy scores. They compare his potential to that of Kiren Williams and suggest that a strong season could elevate Wright's ADP significantly.

10:02

🚴‍♂️ Gavonte Williams' Recovery and Upside

The conversation shifts to Gavonte Williams, selected by Matt Cooper, who had a promising rookie season but suffered a severe knee injury in his sophomore year. Despite a disappointing recovery season, the hosts believe Williams is due for a comeback. They discuss his current ADP of RB22 and his potential to vastly outperform it if he can return to his pre-injury form. The hosts highlight his talent and the opportunity for him to regain his dynasty value.

15:02

💰 Marshon Lloyd's Value and Potential Role

Matt Jackson's second choice is Marshon Lloyd, currently going as RB40 in startup drafts. The hosts discuss Lloyd's talent, including his explosiveness and speed, and his potential role in a timeshare with Josh Jacobs. They speculate on Jacobs' contract situation and the possibility of Lloyd taking on a larger role in the offense. The hosts consider Lloyd a great value pick with significant upside.

20:04

🌟 Austin Ekeler's Undervalued Position

Matt Cooper's second choice is Austin Ekeler, who is currently being drafted at RB41. Despite concerns about his age and previous injury, the hosts believe Ekeler's past performance and potential role in the passing game make him a valuable pick. They compare him to Christian McCaffrey and discuss how Ekeler could see a significant rise in ADP if he returns to form.

25:07

🏉 Honorable Mention: JK Dobbins' Recovery Potential

Matt Cooper gives an honorable mention to JK Dobbins, who is drafted at RB47. Despite concerns about his recovery from an Achilles tear, the hosts are optimistic about Dobbins' potential, especially considering the Chargers' running back situation and Greg Roman's history with him. They suggest that Dobbins could see a significant gain in ADP if he performs well.

30:10

📉 Deonain H's Risky Value and Competition

Matt Jackson discusses Deonain H as a running back with the most to lose, currently at RB8. Despite his talent, the crowded Miami backfield and the presence of other playmakers like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle could limit his opportunities. The hosts debate his value, with concerns about his size, injury history, and the potential for a crowded backfield to reduce his touches.

35:11

🔍 Christian McCaffrey's High Stakes and Diminishing Upside

Matt Cooper identifies Christian McCaffrey as a running back with significant potential to lose value, given his high ADP at RB2 and the risks associated with his age and recent injury history. The hosts discuss the limited upside for McCaffrey and the possibility of a decline in performance, which could significantly impact his value in the next off-season.

🚨 Saquon Barkley's Uncertain Future and Risks

Matt Jackson's second choice for a running back with the most to lose is Saquon Barkley, who is currently drafted at RB7. The hosts discuss the Eagles' historical use of an RB by committee approach and the impact of the offensive line changes on Barkley's performance. They highlight the risks associated with his age and the potential for a decline in his value.

💥 Jonathan Taylor's High Expectations and Potential Decline

The final running back discussed is Jonathan Taylor, selected by both hosts as having a lot to lose heading into the 2024 season. Despite his high ADP at RB5, the hosts express concerns about his recent performance and the potential for further decline, especially considering his age and the team's rushing quarterback.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡CouchScouts Podcast

The 'CouchScouts Podcast' is the title of the show being transcribed, which suggests a podcast focused on sports scouting, particularly for a couch or armchair audience, likely discussing football players and strategies. It is the central medium through which the hosts, Matt Cooper and Matt Jackson, engage with their audience and discuss the topics of the day.

💡Matt Cooper

Matt Cooper is identified as the host of the 'CouchScouts Podcast'. He is one of the main presenters leading the discussions and engaging with co-host Matt Jackson and the audience. His role is crucial in guiding the conversation and providing insights on the subject matter.

💡Matt Jackson

Matt Jackson is the co-host of the 'CouchScouts Podcast', working alongside Matt Cooper to dissect various aspects of sports, specifically American football. His contributions, along with those of Matt Cooper, form the backbone of the show's discussions and analyses.

💡Dynasty Data Lab

The 'Dynasty Data Lab' is mentioned as a source for startup average draft position (ADP) information. It appears to be a resource that the hosts use to analyze player values and performances over time, particularly focusing on the long-term potential and management of players in a 'dynasty league' context.

💡Running Back (RB)

In the context of American football, a 'Running Back' (RB) is a position focused on carrying the ball during offensive plays. The script discusses running backs in terms of their potential to gain or lose value in the upcoming season, indicating the importance of this position in both the sport and fantasy football strategies.

💡Startup ADP

Startup Average Draft Position (ADP) is a term used to denote the average pick number at which players are selected in fantasy football drafts for new or 'startup' leagues. It is a key metric for assessing a player's perceived value and is used throughout the script to evaluate the potential of various running backs.

💡Discord

The hosts mention a 'free Discord' community as a platform for fans to engage in discussions and get advice on fantasy football strategies. Discord is a chat application that allows users to create and join groups to communicate in real-time, fostering a sense of community among its members.

💡Rookie Guide

The 'Rookie Guide' is a product offered by the podcast hosts, which includes in-depth analysis and recommendations on rookie players. It is a resource designed to help listeners dominate their rookie drafts by providing comprehensive information on player prospects.

💡Zamir Wright

Zamir Wright is a running back for the Raiders mentioned in the script as having significant potential to gain value in the 2024 season. The discussion around him highlights his current ADP and the opportunity to outperform his draft position due to his situation and the team's commitment to a volume running back.

💡Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams is another running back discussed in the script, who has faced injury challenges but is anticipated to make a strong comeback. His current ADP is seen as a potential bargain, given the expectation that he could recover from his injuries and exceed his draft position.

💡Marshon Lloyd

Marshon Lloyd is identified as a running back with a high potential to gain value, currently being drafted quite late in startup ADP. His explosiveness and speed are highlighted, suggesting that even in a timeshare with Josh Jacobs, he could have a significant impact and thus increase in value.

💡Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler is mentioned towards the end of the script as a running back with the potential to gain value, despite being an older player in the context of dynasty leagues. His past performance and current ADP suggest that if he can return to form, he could significantly outperform his draft position.

Highlights

Introduction of the CouchScouts Podcast Episode 36 with hosts Matt Cooper and Matt Jackson discussing running backs with the most to gain and lose in the 2024 season.

Matt Jackson shares his experience with Vacation Bible School (VBS) and its impact on the recording schedule.

The hosts mention the absence of Matt Rert due to personal matters and the recording at an unusual time.

Promotion of the free Discord community for Dynasty football enthusiasts to discuss trades, drafts, and player news.

Announcement of the rookie guide for $10, offering in-depth analysis of over 60 prospects to aid in rookie draft preparation.

Discussion on Zamir Wright, Raiders running back, as a potential high-gain player with a current startup ADP of RB23.

Analysis of Zamir Wright's performance in the last four weeks of the season and his potential to outperform his current ADP.

Gavonte Williams, RB22, identified as a post-hype sleeper with the potential to vastly outperform expectations after a serious knee injury.

Matt Jackson's choice of Marshon Lloyd, currently going as RB40, as a value pick with explosive traits and potential for a significant role.

Austin Eckler, despite being an older player, is considered by Matt Cooper as a potentially undervalued running back at RB41 in startup drafts.

Honorable mention of JK Dobbins at RB47, who could see a significant gain if he leads the Chargers' backfield and stays healthy.

Deon a chain from Miami is chosen as a running back with the most to lose due to a crowded running back room and high ADP.

Christian McCaffrey, despite his talent and past success, is identified as having the most to lose due to his age and potential for decline.

Saquon Barkley's situation with the Eagles is discussed, with concerns about his touchdown upside and the team's RB by committee approach.

Jonathan Taylor's high ADP and the pressure for him to perform to expectations, with a history of disappointing seasons.

The hosts express the importance of being aware of the risks associated with older running backs in dynasty leagues.

Expansion of the podcast to more platforms, making it accessible on Spotify, iHeart Radio, Amazon Music, and others.

Invitation for listeners to find the hosts on Twitter and engage with them for questions and show topic suggestions.